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Gold prices have recently dipped, remaining about $150 below their late October peak, largely due to a strong dollar and anticipated high interest rates. UBS forecasts a rebound in 2025, targeting $2,900 per ounce, driven by central bank purchases, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and a gradual decline in interest rates. The firm expects official gold purchases to rise to 982 metric tons in 2024, reflecting ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and a shift towards gold as a portfolio hedge.
Silver prices are currently hovering around $30 as investors await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, expected to be a cut of 25 basis points. The market is cautious ahead of Jerome Powell's press conference, with upcoming US GDP and price data also in focus. A failure to meet expectations at the Fed meeting could negatively impact silver prices, while a continued upward trend may target the October high of $35.
IG
The cryptocurrency market experienced a 3% decline, dropping to approximately $3.65 trillion on December 18, following Bitcoin's fall from its all-time high of $108,364. This downturn, driven by panic selling and massive liquidations totaling $419 million, reflects broader risk-off sentiment amid anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. A bearish divergence in market trends suggests potential further declines, with support around $3.50 trillion.
Donald Trump delivered a goodwill speech at the Washington Crypto Policy Summit, emphasizing the U.S. government's commitment to becoming a global leader in cryptocurrency. He assured attendees that the U.S. aims to retain its crypto business domestically, rather than allowing it to shift to countries like China. The summit featured participation from Congress members and industry leaders, focusing on crucial legislative areas such as decentralized infrastructure, stablecoins, and DeFi. A presentation highlighted that 70% of crypto investors considered candidates' digital asset policies in the last election, with 25% of voters owning crypto.
Ethereum's on-chain demand is expected to keep its price above $4,000, according to IntoTheBlock. Significant support exists in the $3,772 to $4,011 range, where 7.2 million ETH were purchased, indicating potential buying pressure if prices retest these levels. Currently, Ethereum is trading around $3,950, having seen a 10% increase over the past week.
A prominent crypto trader predicts Ethereum is poised for a new all-time high, anticipating a surge past $4,000 as Bitcoin profits flow into ETH. With Bitcoin currently in a bullish phase, the trader expects it to reach between $116,000 and $125,000 by year-end, suggesting a strong finish for both leading cryptocurrencies.
UBS strategists predict a continued rally in gold prices, projecting them to reach $2,900/oz by the end of 2025. Key drivers include central banks' ongoing gold accumulation, rising investor demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical uncertainties, and anticipated lower interest rates. They recommend a 5% allocation to gold in USD-based balanced portfolios as a diversifier.
UBS strategists anticipate a continued rally in gold prices, projecting them to reach $2,900/oz by the end of 2025. Key drivers include central banks' ongoing gold accumulation, rising investor demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical uncertainties, and expected lower interest rates. They recommend a 5% allocation to gold in USD-based balanced portfolios as a diversifier.
US President Donald Trump's tax cuts and tariffs may lead to increased inflation, complicating the Federal Reserve's ability to lower interest rates. As the DAX index struggles to maintain its position after recent highs, a potential correction looms, with key support levels at 20,000 points and below. Investors are cautious ahead of the Fed's upcoming interest rate decision.
IG
MicroStrategy has significantly increased its Bitcoin holdings to over 439,000 BTC, valued at approximately $46 billion, despite concerns about its financial stability. CEO Ki Young Ju warns that a drop in Bitcoin to $16,500 could trigger bankruptcy, although this scenario is deemed highly unlikely given the current price floor of $30,000. The firm continues to purchase Bitcoin, recently joining the Nasdaq 100, which may enhance its capital access for further acquisitions.
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